Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rain and thunderstorm alerts for Lucknow through September 3, drives trader focus on maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating while high humidity and easterly winds promote convective cooling, keeping daily highs below seasonal peaks. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources project maxima of 28–31°C with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Minor variations hinge on exact storm timing and intensity, as stronger afternoon convection could suppress peaks further while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Updated model runs and India Meteorological Department briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rain and thunderstorm alerts for Lucknow through September 3, drives trader focus on maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating while high humidity and easterly winds promote convective cooling, keeping daily highs below seasonal peaks. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources project maxima of 28–31°C with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Minor variations hinge on exact storm timing and intensity, as stronger afternoon convection could suppress peaks further while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Updated model runs and India Meteorological Department briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions