Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日勒克瑙最低溫度？
9月3日勒克瑙最低溫度？
21°C或以下 91%
31°C或更高 87%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C或以下
91%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
87%
21°C或以下 91%
31°C或更高 87%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
91%
22°C
$5 交易量
49%
23°C
$5 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$7 交易量
40%
28°C
$6 交易量
5%
29°C
$5 交易量
3%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$43結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions