Recent monsoon activity, including persistent low-pressure systems drawing moisture from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum of 30–32°C for September 4, with recent daily highs near 30–31°C remaining below seasonal norms due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited intensification potential before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and IMD briefings expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月4日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
$101 交易量
<1%
26°C
$116 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$83 交易量
2%
29°C
$188 交易量
5%
30°C
$218 交易量
19%
31°C
$219 交易量
45%
32°C
$293 交易量
26%
33°C
$28 交易量
6%
34°C
$45 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including persistent low-pressure systems drawing moisture from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum of 30–32°C for September 4, with recent daily highs near 30–31°C remaining below seasonal norms due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited intensification potential before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and IMD briefings expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,290結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including persistent low-pressure systems drawing moisture from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum of 30–32°C for September 4, with recent daily highs near 30–31°C remaining below seasonal norms due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited intensification potential before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and IMD briefings expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,290結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent monsoon activity, including persistent low-pressure systems drawing moisture from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum of 30–32°C for September 4, with recent daily highs near 30–31°C remaining below seasonal norms due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited intensification potential before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and IMD briefings expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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