Active monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, are the dominant driver suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow on September 2. Official IMD observations show September 1 maxima at 31.8°C amid 12+ mm of rain, with forecasts for the following day indicating generally cloudy skies, intermittent showers or thundershowers, and highs near 28–31°C due to reduced solar insolation and high humidity (often 85–95%). Recent alerts for isolated heavy rain through September 3 further support moderated temperatures via evaporative cooling and soil moisture effects. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C reflects minor uncertainties in convective timing and intensity across models, with stronger or more prolonged precipitation favoring the lower end of that range while partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C. New IMD updates or refined forecast runs will provide the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
30°C 39%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
39%
31°C
32%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 39%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
39%
31°C
32%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, are the dominant driver suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow on September 2. Official IMD observations show September 1 maxima at 31.8°C amid 12+ mm of rain, with forecasts for the following day indicating generally cloudy skies, intermittent showers or thundershowers, and highs near 28–31°C due to reduced solar insolation and high humidity (often 85–95%). Recent alerts for isolated heavy rain through September 3 further support moderated temperatures via evaporative cooling and soil moisture effects. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C reflects minor uncertainties in convective timing and intensity across models, with stronger or more prolonged precipitation favoring the lower end of that range while partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C. New IMD updates or refined forecast runs will provide the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions