Ongoing monsoon activity, including active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture flow across Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight temperatures moderate. Recent heavy rainfall—exceeding 65 mm in 24 hours at times—and persistent cloud cover have suppressed radiative cooling, with observed minima near 25°C on September 3 and forecasts for September 5 pointing to lows of 25–26°C amid 60–80% storm chances and high humidity. This supports the market's leading 26°C outcome by limiting drops below 24°C while making extremes like 21°C or below less likely without clear skies. Historical September averages of 24–25°C lows provide context, though model consensus favors the current wet pattern through the period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
31°C或更高 57%
21°C或以下 56%
26°C 54%
23°C 48%
21°C或以下
56%
22°C
16%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
26%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
57%
31°C或更高 57%
21°C或以下 56%
26°C 54%
23°C 48%
21°C或以下
56%
22°C
16%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
26%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing monsoon activity, including active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture flow across Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight temperatures moderate. Recent heavy rainfall—exceeding 65 mm in 24 hours at times—and persistent cloud cover have suppressed radiative cooling, with observed minima near 25°C on September 3 and forecasts for September 5 pointing to lows of 25–26°C amid 60–80% storm chances and high humidity. This supports the market's leading 26°C outcome by limiting drops below 24°C while making extremes like 21°C or below less likely without clear skies. Historical September averages of 24–25°C lows provide context, though model consensus favors the current wet pattern through the period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions