Cloud cover and humidity are the dominant factors shaping trader expectations for Chengdu's August 29 minimum temperature, with models and observations pointing to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies. Forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological reports, and European models converge on an overnight low near 21–24°C, as daytime highs reached 29–31°C amid patchy rain and high moisture that retains heat. Light winds and the Sichuan basin's typical late-summer inversion further moderate the drop, reducing the chance of readings below 21°C while making a dip to 25°C or higher less likely without stronger clearing. Market-implied odds clustered around 22–25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any overnight showers or breaks in cloud cover before official daily minimums are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日成都最低溫？
8月29日成都最低溫？
21°C 86%
25°C 50%
22°C 49%
24°C 46%
$506 交易量
$506 交易量
2026-08-29
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
86%
22°C
49%
23°C
33%
24°C
46%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 86%
25°C 50%
22°C 49%
24°C 46%
$506 交易量
$506 交易量
2026-08-29
17°C or below
$151 交易量
<1%
18°C
$34 交易量
<1%
19°C
$34 交易量
2%
20°C
$83 交易量
2%
21°C
$93 交易量
86%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$15 交易量
33%
24°C
$0 交易量
46%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$65 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and humidity are the dominant factors shaping trader expectations for Chengdu's August 29 minimum temperature, with models and observations pointing to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies. Forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological reports, and European models converge on an overnight low near 21–24°C, as daytime highs reached 29–31°C amid patchy rain and high moisture that retains heat. Light winds and the Sichuan basin's typical late-summer inversion further moderate the drop, reducing the chance of readings below 21°C while making a dip to 25°C or higher less likely without stronger clearing. Market-implied odds clustered around 22–25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any overnight showers or breaks in cloud cover before official daily minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$506結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and humidity are the dominant factors shaping trader expectations for Chengdu's August 29 minimum temperature, with models and observations pointing to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies. Forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological reports, and European models converge on an overnight low near 21–24°C, as daytime highs reached 29–31°C amid patchy rain and high moisture that retains heat. Light winds and the Sichuan basin's typical late-summer inversion further moderate the drop, reducing the chance of readings below 21°C while making a dip to 25°C or higher less likely without stronger clearing. Market-implied odds clustered around 22–25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any overnight showers or breaks in cloud cover before official daily minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$506結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCloud cover and humidity are the dominant factors shaping trader expectations for Chengdu's August 29 minimum temperature, with models and observations pointing to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies. Forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological reports, and European models converge on an overnight low near 21–24°C, as daytime highs reached 29–31°C amid patchy rain and high moisture that retains heat. Light winds and the Sichuan basin's typical late-summer inversion further moderate the drop, reducing the chance of readings below 21°C while making a dip to 25°C or higher less likely without stronger clearing. Market-implied odds clustered around 22–25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any overnight showers or breaks in cloud cover before official daily minimums are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions