Forecasts from agencies and meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Chengdu overnight into the early hours of August 26, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with regional model consensus showing overnight lows near 25–26°C amid daytime highs around 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Sichuan Basin where urban heat effects and terrain often moderate extremes. The 99% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational and modeling alignment. Uncertainties remain from localized variations at official stations, potential shifts in cloud cover, or minor forecast revisions before final verification, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日成都最低溫度？
8月26日成都最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$2,837 交易量
$2,837 交易量
2026-08-26
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$2,837 交易量
$2,837 交易量
2026-08-26
20°C or below
$210 交易量
No
21°C
$15 交易量
No
22°C
$150 交易量
No
23°C
$310 交易量
No
24°C
$80 交易量
No
25°C
$63 交易量
No
26°C
$243 交易量
Yes
27°C
$338 交易量
No
28°C
$1,102 交易量
No
29°C
$155 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$170 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies and meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Chengdu overnight into the early hours of August 26, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with regional model consensus showing overnight lows near 25–26°C amid daytime highs around 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Sichuan Basin where urban heat effects and terrain often moderate extremes. The 99% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational and modeling alignment. Uncertainties remain from localized variations at official stations, potential shifts in cloud cover, or minor forecast revisions before final verification, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,837結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies and meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Chengdu overnight into the early hours of August 26, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with regional model consensus showing overnight lows near 25–26°C amid daytime highs around 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Sichuan Basin where urban heat effects and terrain often moderate extremes. The 99% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational and modeling alignment. Uncertainties remain from localized variations at official stations, potential shifts in cloud cover, or minor forecast revisions before final verification, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,837結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecasts from agencies and meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Chengdu overnight into the early hours of August 26, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with regional model consensus showing overnight lows near 25–26°C amid daytime highs around 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Sichuan Basin where urban heat effects and terrain often moderate extremes. The 99% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational and modeling alignment. Uncertainties remain from localized variations at official stations, potential shifts in cloud cover, or minor forecast revisions before final verification, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions