Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日釜山的最低溫度？
8月26日釜山的最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,889 交易量
$3,889 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,889 交易量
$3,889 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$327 交易量
No
23°C
$85 交易量
No
24°C
$295 交易量
No
25°C
$239 交易量
Yes
26°C
$271 交易量
No
27°C
$491 交易量
No
28°C
$111 交易量
No
29°C
$1,265 交易量
No
30°C
$305 交易量
No
31°C
$80 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$420 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,889結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,889結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions