Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Busan on August 31, underpinning the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge are expected to limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance products heavily, with skin-in-the-game capital reflecting high confidence in the narrow temperature window. A slower-moving frontal boundary or increased low-level moisture could enhance cooling and push readings to 24°C, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日是釜山的最低溫度？
8月31日是釜山的最低溫度？
25°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$2,663 交易量
$2,663 交易量
2026-08-31
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$2,663 交易量
$2,663 交易量
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$48 交易量
No
22°C
$202 交易量
No
23°C
$153 交易量
No
24°C
$32 交易量
No
25°C
$233 交易量
Yes
26°C
$379 交易量
No
27°C
$351 交易量
No
28°C
$565 交易量
No
29°C
$325 交易量
No
30°C
$65 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$310 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Busan on August 31, underpinning the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge are expected to limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance products heavily, with skin-in-the-game capital reflecting high confidence in the narrow temperature window. A slower-moving frontal boundary or increased low-level moisture could enhance cooling and push readings to 24°C, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,663結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Busan on August 31, underpinning the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge are expected to limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance products heavily, with skin-in-the-game capital reflecting high confidence in the narrow temperature window. A slower-moving frontal boundary or increased low-level moisture could enhance cooling and push readings to 24°C, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,663結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Busan on August 31, underpinning the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge are expected to limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance products heavily, with skin-in-the-game capital reflecting high confidence in the narrow temperature window. A slower-moving frontal boundary or increased low-level moisture could enhance cooling and push readings to 24°C, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions