**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the narrow contest between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting tight model consensus around 25–27°C amid transitional weather.** Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to a typhoon's peripheral flow are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and limiting the drop below recent daytime highs near 32°C. These conditions favor a minimum near the upper end of the typical late-August range for the region, where humid subtropical nights usually bottom out around 25–27°C. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on small variations in precipitation timing, wind mixing in the boundary layer, and dew-point depression—factors that numerical weather models resolve only within a 1–2°C envelope this close to the event. Lower-probability outcomes (24°C or below) would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently indicated, while higher readings would need unexpectedly suppressed cloud cover. Market-implied odds capture this genuine uncertainty in the final hours, with fresh observational data and updated model runs likely to sharpen the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日武漢最低氣溫？
8月30日武漢最低氣溫？
26°C 99.5%
25°C 20%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
$935 交易量
$935 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
25°C 20%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
$935 交易量
$935 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$285 交易量
No
23°C
$86 交易量
No
24°C
$112 交易量
No
25°C
$37 交易量
No
26°C
$41 交易量
Yes
27°C
$238 交易量
No
28°C
$20 交易量
No
29°C
$20 交易量
No
30°C
$35 交易量
No
31°C
$30 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the narrow contest between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting tight model consensus around 25–27°C amid transitional weather.**
Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to a typhoon's peripheral flow are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and limiting the drop below recent daytime highs near 32°C. These conditions favor a minimum near the upper end of the typical late-August range for the region, where humid subtropical nights usually bottom out around 25–27°C.
Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on small variations in precipitation timing, wind mixing in the boundary layer, and dew-point depression—factors that numerical weather models resolve only within a 1–2°C envelope this close to the event. Lower-probability outcomes (24°C or below) would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently indicated, while higher readings would need unexpectedly suppressed cloud cover.
Market-implied odds capture this genuine uncertainty in the final hours, with fresh observational data and updated model runs likely to sharpen the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$935結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the narrow contest between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting tight model consensus around 25–27°C amid transitional weather.**
Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to a typhoon's peripheral flow are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and limiting the drop below recent daytime highs near 32°C. These conditions favor a minimum near the upper end of the typical late-August range for the region, where humid subtropical nights usually bottom out around 25–27°C.
Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on small variations in precipitation timing, wind mixing in the boundary layer, and dew-point depression—factors that numerical weather models resolve only within a 1–2°C envelope this close to the event. Lower-probability outcomes (24°C or below) would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently indicated, while higher readings would need unexpectedly suppressed cloud cover.
Market-implied odds capture this genuine uncertainty in the final hours, with fresh observational data and updated model runs likely to sharpen the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$935結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the narrow contest between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting tight model consensus around 25–27°C amid transitional weather.** Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to a typhoon's peripheral flow are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and limiting the drop below recent daytime highs near 32°C. These conditions favor a minimum near the upper end of the typical late-August range for the region, where humid subtropical nights usually bottom out around 25–27°C. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on small variations in precipitation timing, wind mixing in the boundary layer, and dew-point depression—factors that numerical weather models resolve only within a 1–2°C envelope this close to the event. Lower-probability outcomes (24°C or below) would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently indicated, while higher readings would need unexpectedly suppressed cloud cover. Market-implied odds capture this genuine uncertainty in the final hours, with fresh observational data and updated model runs likely to sharpen the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions