Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for August 4 under drier-than-average conditions and afternoon thundery showers, with humidity 60-95% and light southerly winds. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, while recent station data and the first-fortnight outlook of 33-34°C on most days support elevated readings. Model consensus favors modest daytime heating before convective activity develops, though shower timing and intensity introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near 32-33°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with market-implied odds clustering on 32°C and 33°C as the most probable outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月4日的最高溫度?
32°C 54%
33°C 41%
31°C 7%
34°C 2%
$11,310 交易量
$11,310 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
54%
33°C
41%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 41%
31°C 7%
34°C 2%
$11,310 交易量
$11,310 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
54%
33°C
41%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for August 4 under drier-than-average conditions and afternoon thundery showers, with humidity 60-95% and light southerly winds. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, while recent station data and the first-fortnight outlook of 33-34°C on most days support elevated readings. Model consensus favors modest daytime heating before convective activity develops, though shower timing and intensity introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near 32-33°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with market-implied odds clustering on 32°C and 33°C as the most probable outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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