Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月3日米蘭的最高溫度？
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
33°C or below
16%
34°C
28%
35°C
37%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
33°C or below
$440 交易量
16%
34°C
$108 交易量
28%
35°C
$153 交易量
37%
36°C
$93 交易量
22%
37°C
$87 交易量
3%
38°C
$31 交易量
2%
39°C
$93 交易量
<1%
40°C
$55 交易量
<1%
41°C
$33 交易量
<1%
42°C
$92 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$89 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,274結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,274結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions