National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily maximum near 98–101°F on August 4, 2026, under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-August climatology in Central Texas, where average highs reach 96–98°F amid high humidity and weak steering flow, while recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability. The market-implied probabilities—led by 98–99°F at 45.5% and 100–101°F at 32%—reflect trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and any afternoon observation shifts could refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
$78 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$354 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$31 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$154 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$51 交易量
11%
98-99°F
$269 交易量
46%
100-101°F
$95 交易量
32%
102-103°F
$76 交易量
9%
104-105°F
$60 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$65 交易量
1%
華氏108度或更高
$133 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily maximum near 98–101°F on August 4, 2026, under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-August climatology in Central Texas, where average highs reach 96–98°F amid high humidity and weak steering flow, while recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability. The market-implied probabilities—led by 98–99°F at 45.5% and 100–101°F at 32%—reflect trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and any afternoon observation shifts could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,364結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily maximum near 98–101°F on August 4, 2026, under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-August climatology in Central Texas, where average highs reach 96–98°F amid high humidity and weak steering flow, while recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability. The market-implied probabilities—led by 98–99°F at 45.5% and 100–101°F at 32%—reflect trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and any afternoon observation shifts could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,364結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily maximum near 98–101°F on August 4, 2026, under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-August climatology in Central Texas, where average highs reach 96–98°F amid high humidity and weak steering flow, while recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability. The market-implied probabilities—led by 98–99°F at 45.5% and 100–101°F at 32%—reflect trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and any afternoon observation shifts could refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions