National Weather Service forecasts for Austin point to a high near 100–101°F on August 3, driven by the seasonal peak of summer heating when average highs reach 98–99°F. Persistent high pressure and drier air masses have reduced cloud cover and humidity, enabling efficient surface warming while steering patterns limit Gulf moisture. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–103°F range as the most probable outcome. Historical analogs from early August heat waves indicate that any unexpected increase in moisture or wind could cap temperatures below 100°F, while clearer skies might push readings into the low 102s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
100-101°F 49%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 20%
華氏104-105度 8%
華氏91度或以下
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
27%
華氏104-105度
8%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
1%
110°F或以上
1%
100-101°F 49%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 20%
華氏104-105度 8%
華氏91度或以下
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
27%
華氏104-105度
8%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
1%
110°F或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin point to a high near 100–101°F on August 3, driven by the seasonal peak of summer heating when average highs reach 98–99°F. Persistent high pressure and drier air masses have reduced cloud cover and humidity, enabling efficient surface warming while steering patterns limit Gulf moisture. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–103°F range as the most probable outcome. Historical analogs from early August heat waves indicate that any unexpected increase in moisture or wind could cap temperatures below 100°F, while clearer skies might push readings into the low 102s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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