Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates Houston highs near 96–99°F on August 3 under lingering summer warmth and a gradually weakening upper-level ridge, following several days of upper-90s to low-100s readings. Afternoon dew points near 77–80°F will elevate heat indices above 105°F, but increasing cloud cover and a subtle steering shift may cap afternoon peaks below recent maxima. Historical August averages near 95°F and recent model runs showing slight cooling provide context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 96–99°F bins, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from earlier convection. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term data point for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月3日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 11%
100-101°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 11%
100-101°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
87°F或以下
$442 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$153 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$98 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$45 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$148 交易量
11%
96-97°F
$297 交易量
57%
98-99°F
$279 交易量
28%
100-101°F
$186 交易量
6%
102-103°F
$66 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$55 交易量
1%
106°F或更高
$122 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates Houston highs near 96–99°F on August 3 under lingering summer warmth and a gradually weakening upper-level ridge, following several days of upper-90s to low-100s readings. Afternoon dew points near 77–80°F will elevate heat indices above 105°F, but increasing cloud cover and a subtle steering shift may cap afternoon peaks below recent maxima. Historical August averages near 95°F and recent model runs showing slight cooling provide context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 96–99°F bins, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from earlier convection. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,891結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates Houston highs near 96–99°F on August 3 under lingering summer warmth and a gradually weakening upper-level ridge, following several days of upper-90s to low-100s readings. Afternoon dew points near 77–80°F will elevate heat indices above 105°F, but increasing cloud cover and a subtle steering shift may cap afternoon peaks below recent maxima. Historical August averages near 95°F and recent model runs showing slight cooling provide context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 96–99°F bins, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from earlier convection. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,891結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates Houston highs near 96–99°F on August 3 under lingering summer warmth and a gradually weakening upper-level ridge, following several days of upper-90s to low-100s readings. Afternoon dew points near 77–80°F will elevate heat indices above 105°F, but increasing cloud cover and a subtle steering shift may cap afternoon peaks below recent maxima. Historical August averages near 95°F and recent model runs showing slight cooling provide context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 96–99°F bins, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from earlier convection. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term data point for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions