National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance position Seattle's August 3 high near seasonal norms, with recent model runs favoring 76-79°F amid a building offshore ridge that promotes sunny conditions and light winds after an initial weak front. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 76-77°F (40.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology where average highs reach about 79°F. Short-term variability from lingering marine influence keeps lower bins like 74-75°F (19.5%) viable, while El Niño-enhanced summer warmth supports the slim tail above 80°F. Updated NWS runs and ensemble consensus through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
67°F or below
$19 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$10 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$6 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
12%
74-75°F
$10 交易量
20%
76-77°F
$8 交易量
41%
78-79°F
$20 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$35 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$30 交易量
2%
86°F or higher
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance position Seattle's August 3 high near seasonal norms, with recent model runs favoring 76-79°F amid a building offshore ridge that promotes sunny conditions and light winds after an initial weak front. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 76-77°F (40.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology where average highs reach about 79°F. Short-term variability from lingering marine influence keeps lower bins like 74-75°F (19.5%) viable, while El Niño-enhanced summer warmth supports the slim tail above 80°F. Updated NWS runs and ensemble consensus through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$153結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance position Seattle's August 3 high near seasonal norms, with recent model runs favoring 76-79°F amid a building offshore ridge that promotes sunny conditions and light winds after an initial weak front. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 76-77°F (40.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology where average highs reach about 79°F. Short-term variability from lingering marine influence keeps lower bins like 74-75°F (19.5%) viable, while El Niño-enhanced summer warmth supports the slim tail above 80°F. Updated NWS runs and ensemble consensus through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$153結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model guidance position Seattle's August 3 high near seasonal norms, with recent model runs favoring 76-79°F amid a building offshore ridge that promotes sunny conditions and light winds after an initial weak front. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 76-77°F (40.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology where average highs reach about 79°F. Short-term variability from lingering marine influence keeps lower bins like 74-75°F (19.5%) viable, while El Niño-enhanced summer warmth supports the slim tail above 80°F. Updated NWS runs and ensemble consensus through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions