Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models supports highs of 100-103°F for Dallas on August 4, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and dry southwesterly flow typical of late summer in North Texas. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily highs reach 96-100°F and rarely exceed 102°F, though recent heat advisories and upper-90s to low-100s readings through early August have reinforced trader expectations for the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins as frontrunners. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with only modest potential for 98-99°F if afternoon convection develops or slight upward revision toward 104°F under stronger subsidence. Resolution will hinge on official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observations at 7 p.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 13%
華氏97度或以下
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
華氏116度或更高
<1%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 13%
華氏97度或以下
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
華氏116度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models supports highs of 100-103°F for Dallas on August 4, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and dry southwesterly flow typical of late summer in North Texas. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily highs reach 96-100°F and rarely exceed 102°F, though recent heat advisories and upper-90s to low-100s readings through early August have reinforced trader expectations for the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins as frontrunners. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with only modest potential for 98-99°F if afternoon convection develops or slight upward revision toward 104°F under stronger subsidence. Resolution will hinge on official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observations at 7 p.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions