Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 89–91°F on August 4 under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin. Early August climatology supports highs averaging 89°F, with model consensus showing modest variability tied to convective timing and moisture levels rather than major pattern shifts. Persistent humid conditions following July’s second-hottest monthly record on record continue to influence boundary-layer temperatures, while steering patterns favor typical sea-breeze development that can cap peak readings. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
華氏79度或以下
$347 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$152 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$225 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$657 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$643 交易量
6%
88-89°F
$112 交易量
27%
90-91°F
$1,892 交易量
51%
92-93°F
$1,610 交易量
14%
94-95°F
$217 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$123 交易量
<1%
98°F或更高
$338 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 89–91°F on August 4 under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin. Early August climatology supports highs averaging 89°F, with model consensus showing modest variability tied to convective timing and moisture levels rather than major pattern shifts. Persistent humid conditions following July’s second-hottest monthly record on record continue to influence boundary-layer temperatures, while steering patterns favor typical sea-breeze development that can cap peak readings. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,317結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 89–91°F on August 4 under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin. Early August climatology supports highs averaging 89°F, with model consensus showing modest variability tied to convective timing and moisture levels rather than major pattern shifts. Persistent humid conditions following July’s second-hottest monthly record on record continue to influence boundary-layer temperatures, while steering patterns favor typical sea-breeze development that can cap peak readings. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,317結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 89–91°F on August 4 under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin. Early August climatology supports highs averaging 89°F, with model consensus showing modest variability tied to convective timing and moisture levels rather than major pattern shifts. Persistent humid conditions following July’s second-hottest monthly record on record continue to influence boundary-layer temperatures, while steering patterns favor typical sea-breeze development that can cap peak readings. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions