Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 交易量
$27,730 交易量
2026-05-20
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 交易量
$27,730 交易量
2026-05-20
25°C or below
$238 交易量
No
26°C
$320 交易量
No
27°C
$516 交易量
No
28°C
$477 交易量
No
29°C
$1,651 交易量
No
30°C
$1,733 交易量
No
31°C
$2,450 交易量
No
32°C
$3,126 交易量
No
33°C
$7,755 交易量
No
34°C
$4,831 交易量
Yes
35°C or higher
$4,633 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
交易量
$27,730結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,730結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions