Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?
94-95°F 47%
96-97°F 37%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 5%
新規
$18,110 Vol.
新規
$18,110 Vol.
2026/07/02
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
47%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 47%
96-97°F 37%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 5%
新規
$18,110 Vol.
新規
$18,110 Vol.
2026/07/02
87°F or below
$1,629 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,699 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$1,568 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$1,917 Vol.
47%
96-97°F
$2,636 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$629 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$1,179 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$1,736 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$18,110終了日
2026/07/02マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,110終了日
2026/07/02マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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