Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月3日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
7月3日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
72〜73°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
70～71°F <1%
$99,666 Vol.
$99,666 Vol.
2026/07/03
67°F以下
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70～71°F
いいえ
72〜73°F
はい
74～75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78～79°F
いいえ
80～81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84～85°F
いいえ
86°F以上
いいえ
72〜73°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
70～71°F <1%
$99,666 Vol.
$99,666 Vol.
2026/07/03
67°F以下
$1,010 Vol.
いいえ
68〜69°F
$5,165 Vol.
いいえ
70～71°F
$23,424 Vol.
いいえ
72〜73°F
$24,595 Vol.
はい
74～75°F
$11,600 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$7,117 Vol.
いいえ
78～79°F
$10,496 Vol.
いいえ
80～81°F
$3,457 Vol.
いいえ
82〜83°F
$3,512 Vol.
いいえ
84～85°F
$7,459 Vol.
いいえ
86°F以上
$1,831 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
音量
$99,666終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$99,666終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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