Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driving the near-certain market consensus. August climatology in the region typically features overnight lows around 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with minimal diurnal variation during periods of stable high pressure and light winds. The recorded value aligns closely with recent model guidance and surface station data, leaving little room for revision once verified against multiple automated and manual sensors. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or instrument malfunction could alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given redundant monitoring networks and historical data consistency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の香港の最低気温は?
25℃ 100.0%
23℃ <1%
21°C以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$36,692 Vol.
$36,692 Vol.
21°C以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
100%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C以上
<1%
25℃ 100.0%
23℃ <1%
21°C以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$36,692 Vol.
$36,692 Vol.
21°C以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
100%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 25°C on August 1, driving the near-certain market consensus. August climatology in the region typically features overnight lows around 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with minimal diurnal variation during periods of stable high pressure and light winds. The recorded value aligns closely with recent model guidance and surface station data, leaving little room for revision once verified against multiple automated and manual sensors. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or instrument malfunction could alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given redundant monitoring networks and historical data consistency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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