Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s August 4 peak temperature centers on short-term forecast guidance placing daily highs near 32–34 °C, just above the long-term August average of roughly 31–33 °C. Tropical conditions featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and light steering winds limit extreme outliers, while gradual regional warming trends and lingering ENSO-neutral to weak El Niño influences support modest upward bias. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks and ensemble model runs show limited spread for the immediate period, concentrating implied probabilities on 33–35 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and any revisions to convection timing will be the next key data points traders monitor ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のクアラルンプールの最高気温は?
34°C 35%
33℃ 34%
32℃ 17%
35°C 14%
28℃以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31℃
9%
32℃
17%
33℃
34%
34°C
35%
35°C
14%
36℃
13%
37°C
14%
38°C以上
<1%
34°C 35%
33℃ 34%
32℃ 17%
35°C 14%
28℃以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31℃
9%
32℃
17%
33℃
34%
34°C
35%
35°C
14%
36℃
13%
37°C
14%
38°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s August 4 peak temperature centers on short-term forecast guidance placing daily highs near 32–34 °C, just above the long-term August average of roughly 31–33 °C. Tropical conditions featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and light steering winds limit extreme outliers, while gradual regional warming trends and lingering ENSO-neutral to weak El Niño influences support modest upward bias. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks and ensemble model runs show limited spread for the immediate period, concentrating implied probabilities on 33–35 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and any revisions to convection timing will be the next key data points traders monitor ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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