Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の深センの最高気温は？
8月4日の深センの最高気温は？
31°C 34%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
28°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
30%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
28°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$40 Vol.
13%
29°C
$84 Vol.
30%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
34%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$110 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$110 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$381終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$381終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate unsettled monsoon conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 4, 2026, introducing uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Subtropical humidity, South China Sea moisture influx, and cloud cover from convective activity typically moderate maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 29–30°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–32°C, yet model consensus points to a narrow window where clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C or rain suppression holding values at 28°C. Trader clustering around these levels reflects sensitivity to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and the narrow resolution thresholds, with limited upside from extreme heat given the timing within peak wet season patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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