Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のカラチの最高気温は?
34℃ 43%
33℃ 42%
32℃ 23%
35℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32℃
26%
33℃
42%
34℃
43%
35℃
5%
36°C
3%
37℃以上
1%
34℃ 43%
33℃ 42%
32℃ 23%
35℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32℃
26%
33℃
42%
34℃
43%
35℃
5%
36°C
3%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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