Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 10%
14°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
10%
12°C
41%
13°C
40%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 10%
14°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
6°C or below
$248 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$109 Vol.
4%
11°C
$207 Vol.
10%
12°C
$281 Vol.
41%
13°C
$295 Vol.
40%
14°C
$344 Vol.
10%
15°C
$100 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$2,006終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,006終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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