Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
10°C 57%
11°C 23%
9°C 16%
12°C 4%
新規
$12,857 Vol.
新規
$12,857 Vol.
2026/08/01
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
57%
11°C
23%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 57%
11°C 23%
9°C 16%
12°C 4%
新規
$12,857 Vol.
新規
$12,857 Vol.
2026/08/01
5°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$677 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,004 Vol.
3%
9°C
$1,834 Vol.
16%
10°C
$2,679 Vol.
57%
11°C
$1,413 Vol.
23%
12°C
$845 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,524 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,428 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$12,857終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,857終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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