Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
28%
31°C
32%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
28%
31°C
32%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) place Munich's August 1 maximum temperature near 30–31 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that favor modest daytime heating. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convection create the narrow spread separating the leading 30 °C and 31 °C market outcomes, while historical climatology for early August shows a typical high of 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated model guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around these thresholds before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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