Recent forecasts point to showers and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 30, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving trader consensus toward the 30–31°C outcomes. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds limits surface heating, while latent heat release and evapotranspiration during rain further cap daytime peaks. Numerical weather models show modest spread in precipitation timing and coverage, creating the observed tight clustering around these values. Historical July highs average near 32°C under clearer conditions, but late-month variability tied to regional moisture influx often produces 1–3°C day-to-day swings. Updated model runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月30日の深センの最高気温は?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
33°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
4%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
33°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts point to showers and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 30, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving trader consensus toward the 30–31°C outcomes. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds limits surface heating, while latent heat release and evapotranspiration during rain further cap daytime peaks. Numerical weather models show modest spread in precipitation timing and coverage, creating the observed tight clustering around these values. Historical July highs average near 32°C under clearer conditions, but late-month variability tied to regional moisture influx often produces 1–3°C day-to-day swings. Updated model runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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