Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の青島の最高気温は?
35°C 29%
38℃以上 24%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 19%
28°C以下
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33℃
10%
34℃
19%
35°C
29%
36℃
24%
37℃
14%
38℃以上
24%
35°C 29%
38℃以上 24%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 19%
28°C以下
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33℃
10%
34℃
19%
35°C
29%
36℃
24%
37℃
14%
38℃以上
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問