Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月29日のオースティンの最高気温は?
98~99°F 43%
100~101°F 28%
96〜97°F 22%
102〜103°F 6%
93°F以下
1%
94〜95°F
5%
96〜97°F
22%
98~99°F
43%
100~101°F
28%
102〜103°F
6%
104〜105°F
2%
106~107°F
1%
108~109°F
<1%
110~111°F
<1%
112°F以上
<1%
98~99°F 43%
100~101°F 28%
96〜97°F 22%
102〜103°F 6%
93°F以下
1%
94〜95°F
5%
96〜97°F
22%
98~99°F
43%
100~101°F
28%
102〜103°F
6%
104〜105°F
2%
106~107°F
1%
108~109°F
<1%
110~111°F
<1%
112°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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