Recent extended-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate monsoon rainfall over Lucknow on August 2, supporting daily maximums near 32–34 °C. Cloud cover and precipitation during peak monsoon season typically suppress afternoon heating relative to pre-monsoon norms, while high humidity and soil moisture further limit radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 34 °C or slightly above, while others favor steadier rain keeping values at or below 33 °C. These dynamics, combined with climatological August averages of 32 °C, underpin the market’s heaviest weighting on the upper two bins. Updated IMD bulletins and model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall totals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のラクナウの最高気温は?
34°C or higher 59%
33°C 29%
32°C 17%
31°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
17%
33°C
29%
34°C or higher
59%
34°C or higher 59%
33°C 29%
32°C 17%
31°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
17%
33°C
29%
34°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent extended-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate monsoon rainfall over Lucknow on August 2, supporting daily maximums near 32–34 °C. Cloud cover and precipitation during peak monsoon season typically suppress afternoon heating relative to pre-monsoon norms, while high humidity and soil moisture further limit radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 34 °C or slightly above, while others favor steadier rain keeping values at or below 33 °C. These dynamics, combined with climatological August averages of 32 °C, underpin the market’s heaviest weighting on the upper two bins. Updated IMD bulletins and model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall totals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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