Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
78〜79°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72〜73°F <1%
華氏74~75度 <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
はい
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86~87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
78〜79°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72〜73°F <1%
華氏74~75度 <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
はい
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86~87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問