Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Sunday high near 80–81°F under partly cloudy skies with lingering marine layer influence and light onshore flow. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F bin at 50.5% implied probability, as the Pacific moderation typically caps coastal maxima in the low 80s during early August despite a broader regional heat advisory through August 2. Inland areas may reach the upper 80s or low 90s, but official Los Angeles readings prioritize coastal sites. Model runs show limited warming potential from current patterns, with any deviation hinging on reduced cloud cover or stronger offshore winds—low-probability shifts that keep 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes. Historical August averages near 84°F provide context, yet current conditions support the market's tight clustering around 80°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
80〜81°F 51%
78〜79°F 31%
82〜83°F 13%
77°F以下 7%
$14,565 Vol.
$14,565 Vol.
77°F以下
7%
78〜79°F
31%
80〜81°F
51%
82〜83°F
13%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
1%
88~89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 51%
78〜79°F 31%
82〜83°F 13%
77°F以下 7%
$14,565 Vol.
$14,565 Vol.
77°F以下
7%
78〜79°F
31%
80〜81°F
51%
82〜83°F
13%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
1%
88~89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Sunday high near 80–81°F under partly cloudy skies with lingering marine layer influence and light onshore flow. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F bin at 50.5% implied probability, as the Pacific moderation typically caps coastal maxima in the low 80s during early August despite a broader regional heat advisory through August 2. Inland areas may reach the upper 80s or low 90s, but official Los Angeles readings prioritize coastal sites. Model runs show limited warming potential from current patterns, with any deviation hinging on reduced cloud cover or stronger offshore winds—low-probability shifts that keep 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes. Historical August averages near 84°F provide context, yet current conditions support the market's tight clustering around 80°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問