Latest numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely settle near 19–21°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and warm southerly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce modest model spread around the 20°C threshold, with outcomes differentiated by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and low-level wind speeds that alter the rate of radiative cooling. Following an early-summer heat episode, current ensemble guidance shows limited risk of stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings to 18°C or below, keeping the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 19–21°C range. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のパリの最低気温は？
8月3日のパリの最低気温は？
19°C 31%
20°C 31%
21°C 21%
17℃以下 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
17℃以下
13%
18°C
12%
19°C
31%
20°C
31%
21°C
21%
22℃
9%
23℃
10%
24℃
7%
25℃
2%
26℃
1%
27℃以上
1%
19°C 31%
20°C 31%
21°C 21%
17℃以下 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
17℃以下
$29 Vol.
13%
18°C
$65 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22℃
$0 Vol.
9%
23℃
$0 Vol.
10%
24℃
$276 Vol.
7%
25℃
$175 Vol.
2%
26℃
$32 Vol.
1%
27℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely settle near 19–21°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and warm southerly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce modest model spread around the 20°C threshold, with outcomes differentiated by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and low-level wind speeds that alter the rate of radiative cooling. Following an early-summer heat episode, current ensemble guidance shows limited risk of stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings to 18°C or below, keeping the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 19–21°C range. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$577終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely settle near 19–21°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and warm southerly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce modest model spread around the 20°C threshold, with outcomes differentiated by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and low-level wind speeds that alter the rate of radiative cooling. Following an early-summer heat episode, current ensemble guidance shows limited risk of stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings to 18°C or below, keeping the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 19–21°C range. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$577終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely settle near 19–21°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and warm southerly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce modest model spread around the 20°C threshold, with outcomes differentiated by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and low-level wind speeds that alter the rate of radiative cooling. Following an early-summer heat episode, current ensemble guidance shows limited risk of stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings to 18°C or below, keeping the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 19–21°C range. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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