Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18℃ 29%
19°C 24%
16°C 21%
20℃ 19%
14℃以下
7%
15℃
8%
16°C
12%
17℃
16%
18℃
29%
19°C
24%
20℃
19%
21°C
9%
22℃
15%
23°C
18%
24℃以上
1%
18℃ 29%
19°C 24%
16°C 21%
20℃ 19%
14℃以下
7%
15℃
8%
16°C
12%
17℃
16%
18℃
29%
19°C
24%
20℃
19%
21°C
9%
22℃
15%
23°C
18%
24℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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