Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のロンドンの最高気温は?
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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