Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のモスクワの最高気温は?
25°C 25%
26℃ 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 19%
21°C以下
5%
22℃
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26℃
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29℃
5%
30℃
7%
31℃以上
2%
25°C 25%
26℃ 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 19%
21°C以下
5%
22℃
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26℃
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29℃
5%
30℃
7%
31℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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