Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended models show persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with daytime highs near 37–38°C and elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows centered around 26–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 4. Trader consensus clusters on these values because urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold minima above the long-term early-August average of 23–25°C, while any late-day cloud cover or scattered showers could shave 1–2°C from the floor. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the narrow 21.5%–19.5% split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational update from Incheon International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
27℃ 40%
28℃ 27%
26℃ 11%
25°C 9%
22°C以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26℃
11%
27℃
51%
28℃
27%
29℃
4%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32℃以上
1%
27℃ 40%
28℃ 27%
26℃ 11%
25°C 9%
22°C以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26℃
11%
27℃
51%
28℃
27%
29℃
4%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended models show persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with daytime highs near 37–38°C and elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows centered around 26–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 4. Trader consensus clusters on these values because urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold minima above the long-term early-August average of 23–25°C, while any late-day cloud cover or scattered showers could shave 1–2°C from the floor. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the narrow 21.5%–19.5% split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational update from Incheon International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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