Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a mainly fine day on August 3 with westerly winds shifting southerly by evening, supporting a daytime maximum near 15°C under conditions that favor modest daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C, as traders incorporate the official guidance against a long-term August climatology of 12–13°C mean highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average or below-average temperatures in the region. Westerly flow can enhance insolation and reduce cloud cover compared to typical southerly outbreaks, while the evening wind shift and possible showers introduce limited downside risk to the peak reading. Model consensus remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions in steering patterns or cloud development could still adjust the observed maximum within the narrow 14–17°C band dominating implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月3日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16°C 45%
17°C 29%
15°C 21%
14°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
21%
16°C
45%
17°C
29%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
17°C 29%
15°C 21%
14°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
10°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$336 Vol.
1%
12°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$365 Vol.
1%
14°C
$544 Vol.
4%
15°C
$628 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,412 Vol.
45%
17°C
$671 Vol.
29%
18°C
$22 Vol.
2%
19°C
$330 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a mainly fine day on August 3 with westerly winds shifting southerly by evening, supporting a daytime maximum near 15°C under conditions that favor modest daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C, as traders incorporate the official guidance against a long-term August climatology of 12–13°C mean highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average or below-average temperatures in the region. Westerly flow can enhance insolation and reduce cloud cover compared to typical southerly outbreaks, while the evening wind shift and possible showers introduce limited downside risk to the peak reading. Model consensus remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions in steering patterns or cloud development could still adjust the observed maximum within the narrow 14–17°C band dominating implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$5,193終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a mainly fine day on August 3 with westerly winds shifting southerly by evening, supporting a daytime maximum near 15°C under conditions that favor modest daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C, as traders incorporate the official guidance against a long-term August climatology of 12–13°C mean highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average or below-average temperatures in the region. Westerly flow can enhance insolation and reduce cloud cover compared to typical southerly outbreaks, while the evening wind shift and possible showers introduce limited downside risk to the peak reading. Model consensus remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions in steering patterns or cloud development could still adjust the observed maximum within the narrow 14–17°C band dominating implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,193終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a mainly fine day on August 3 with westerly winds shifting southerly by evening, supporting a daytime maximum near 15°C under conditions that favor modest daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C, as traders incorporate the official guidance against a long-term August climatology of 12–13°C mean highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average or below-average temperatures in the region. Westerly flow can enhance insolation and reduce cloud cover compared to typical southerly outbreaks, while the evening wind shift and possible showers introduce limited downside risk to the peak reading. Model consensus remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions in steering patterns or cloud development could still adjust the observed maximum within the narrow 14–17°C band dominating implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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