Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月4日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
21℃ 25%
22℃ 20%
20°C 19%
19℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
18°C以下
14%
19℃
18%
20°C
19%
21℃
25%
22℃
20%
23℃
7%
24°C
3%
25℃
5%
26℃
1%
27°C
1%
28℃以上
1%
21℃ 25%
22℃ 20%
20°C 19%
19℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
18°C以下
$16 Vol.
14%
19℃
$55 Vol.
18%
20°C
$22 Vol.
19%
21℃
$159 Vol.
25%
22℃
$184 Vol.
20%
23℃
$161 Vol.
7%
24°C
$32 Vol.
3%
25℃
$63 Vol.
5%
26℃
$91 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28℃以上
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$803終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$803終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETTrader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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