Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の深センの最高気温は？
8月2日の深センの最高気温は？
28°C 31%
27℃ 26%
29℃ 19%
30°C 12%
新規
$11,137 Vol.
新規
$11,137 Vol.
2026/08/02
23℃以下
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26℃
10%
27℃
26%
28°C
31%
29℃
19%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C以上
1%
28°C 31%
27℃ 26%
29℃ 19%
30°C 12%
新規
$11,137 Vol.
新規
$11,137 Vol.
2026/08/02
23℃以下
$778 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,149 Vol.
4%
26℃
$1,491 Vol.
10%
27℃
$750 Vol.
26%
28°C
$1,699 Vol.
31%
29℃
$557 Vol.
19%
30°C
$688 Vol.
12%
31°C
$432 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,073 Vol.
3%
33°C以上
$2,509 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$11,137終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,137終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問