Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 交易量
$65,581 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 交易量
$65,581 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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