Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月2日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月2日慕尼黑最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$107,135 交易量
$107,135 交易量
2026-07-02
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$107,135 交易量
$107,135 交易量
2026-07-02
18°C or below
$2,879 交易量
No
19°C
$4,495 交易量
No
20°C
$3,995 交易量
No
21°C
$3,124 交易量
No
22°C
$4,431 交易量
No
23°C
$9,104 交易量
No
24°C
$13,784 交易量
No
25°C
$12,440 交易量
No
26°C
$12,974 交易量
No
27°C
$16,156 交易量
Yes
28°C or higher
$23,752 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$107,135結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$107,135結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and other global models place Munich's July 2 maximum near 25°C under sunny intervals and light westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. This aligns with typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C highs, modulated by modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and NOAA global guidance continue to refine short-range runs ahead of resolution, with any late adjustments to surface pressure or insolation likely to determine whether traders favor the current leader or the near-tie outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions