Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日成都最高溫度？
7月27日成都最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$167,630 交易量
$167,630 交易量
2026-07-27
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$167,630 交易量
$167,630 交易量
2026-07-27
27°C or below
$16,891 交易量
No
28°C
$43,650 交易量
No
29°C
$27,982 交易量
No
30°C
$20,700 交易量
Yes
31°C
$15,036 交易量
No
32°C
$10,333 交易量
No
33°C
$6,930 交易量
No
34°C
$8,009 交易量
No
35°C
$8,312 交易量
No
36°C
$5,733 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$4,053 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$167,630結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$167,630結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions