Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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