Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 交易量
$30,150 交易量
2026-05-02
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 交易量
$30,150 交易量
2026-05-02
29°C or below
$2,007 交易量
No
30°C
$2,063 交易量
No
31°C
$617 交易量
No
32°C
$2,695 交易量
No
33°C
$2,375 交易量
No
34°C
$2,937 交易量
No
35°C
$2,515 交易量
No
36°C
$2,494 交易量
No
37°C
$2,377 交易量
No
38°C
$5,011 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$5,058 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$30,150结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,150结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题