Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 交易量
$141,310 交易量
2026-05-10
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 交易量
$141,310 交易量
2026-05-10
13°C or below
$8,667 交易量
No
14°C
$8,312 交易量
No
15°C
$16,717 交易量
No
16°C
$20,144 交易量
Yes
17°C
$24,122 交易量
No
18°C
$24,782 交易量
No
19°C
$16,454 交易量
No
20°C
$9,679 交易量
No
21°C
$6,666 交易量
No
22°C
$3,470 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$2,298 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$141,310结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$141,310结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题