Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations from the Munich Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—confirm a peak temperature of exactly 21°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly data throughout the day showed sustained warmth under partly cloudy skies with light winds, peaking mid-afternoon before cooling, consistent with late-April climatology where highs average 14–16°C but occasionally reach 20–22°C amid high-pressure influence. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with model ensembles like ECMWF having anticipated similar conditions. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor recalibration or an overlooked station reading exceeding 21°C, though such corrections occur in under 1% of cases historically.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 25?
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$78,605 Vol.
$78,605 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$78,605 Vol.
$78,605 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 23, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations from the Munich Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—confirm a peak temperature of exactly 21°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly data throughout the day showed sustained warmth under partly cloudy skies with light winds, peaking mid-afternoon before cooling, consistent with late-April climatology where highs average 14–16°C but occasionally reach 20–22°C amid high-pressure influence. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with model ensembles like ECMWF having anticipated similar conditions. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor recalibration or an overlooked station reading exceeding 21°C, though such corrections occur in under 1% of cases historically.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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