Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 交易量
$73,099 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 交易量
$73,099 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions